Lower Nelson River Probable Maximum Precipitation Study 

Services:
  • PMP calculations covering the entire domain using AWA’s gridded process 
  • Numerous SPAS Storm Analyses 
  • Updated precipitation frequency climatologies  
  • GIS tool and database to provide PMP outputs for any of the sub basins upstream of the various hydro projects 
  • Detailed documentation 

Probable Maximum Precipitation and Precipitation Frequency Analyses for the Lower Nelson River, Manitoba.  

Project Scope 

PMP depths across the 90,000-square kilometer basin for both the summer/fall and spring seasons were developed for all projects within the Manitoba Hydro portfolio.  This included a larger region which is affected by significant snowmelt runoff and northerly latitudes and variable climate conditions.  In addition, flows into this large basin are affected by the large body of water from Lake Winnipeg.   

The new PMP estimates are available from a single grid point to the entire region and are provided via out GIS tool and database.  This allows any combination of PMP scenarios to be evaluated.  This provides the required outputs for proper hydrologic modelling over this complex system, including rain on snow events as the area transitions from spring snowmelt to rainfall runoff situations.   

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